
Jason Lee / Reuters
Chongqing Municipality Communist Party Secretary Bo Xilai waves as he attends the opening ceremony of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in March 2012.
BEIJING -- Monday's murder conviction for the wife of Bo Xilai, once one of China's most powerful men, may have brought to an end the investigation into the death of British businessman Neil Heywood but it left in question the fate of her husband, who is being pursued for party "disciplinary violations."
Is Bo the next target of a deepening struggle? Or will he be spared from harsher punishments? Leading China analysts have varied responses but there is unanimity that Gu Kailai's conviction was also a nail in the coffin of her politician husband's career.
Wife of disgraced Chinese leader gets death sentence with reprieve
'Politically carbonized'
To counter Bo's "continuing popularity" among some segments of the population, China's Communist Party attempted to depict the case in terms of the most heinous of crimes -- murder, said Joseph Fewsmith, a leading expert on Chinese politics at Boston University and author of several books on China.
The wife of a disgraced Chinese politician has been given a suspended death sentence for her role in the death of British businessman, Neil Heywood. ITV's Angus Walker reports.
"It certainly is a case of murder, but in a sense, the killing of Heywood allows the party to sidestep all the other issues -- the way Bo conducted his 'strike black' campaign, the so-called Chongqing model and his political ambitions -- by focusing on the murder," Fewsmith said.
Strike black refers to Bo's anti-corruption and anti-crime campaign that implicated millionaires, local officials, police officers and gangsters. Under the Chongqing model that Bo advocated, the state increased its role in society and led huge public projects.
"Despite the strong evidence of criminal activity (murder), it seems likely that many will continue to read this case as part of a political struggle," Fewsmith said.
And in this political struggle, China's leftist elite -- known as neo-cons -- are the likely losers, said Professor Jean-Pierre Cabestan, head of government and international studies at Hong Kong Baptist University and a prominent scholar on China.
Closed-door murder trial: Wife of ousted politician Bo Xilai faces China court
"Some neo-cons may have tried or be willing to save Bo Xilai, in order to serve their own interests. I am inclined to think they will fail, because both the outside world and the Chinese blogosphere know too much about this terrible couple, their family and their wealth," Cabestan told NBC News.
"In other words, Bo is a liability, he is worn out, he is politically carbonized," he added.
'Chongqing model' dead or alive?
"But we should not jump to the conclusion that the reformists will enjoy an upper hand in the coming months," Cabestan said, adding that the Chongqing model that Bo championed was not sustainable.

Stringer / China / Reuters
China's former Chongqing Municipality Communist Party Secretary Bo Xilai (R) and his wife Gu Kailai (L), who was found guilty of murdering a British businessman.
"It's too expensive for the state, too hostile to private businesses and too distant from the rule of law," Cabestan said.
"But the pro-state, pro-state-owned enterprises leaders have not been totally defeated and there are so many vested interests around the perpetuation of a strong and entrepreneurial party-state," Cabestan said.
Professor Bo Zhiyue, expert on Chinese politics at the National University of Singapore, agreed that Bo was finished politically, but argued that his governing style was not necessarily dead.
"With Bo as a major competitor out of the way, the new leadership could be more stable," Bo Zhiyue told NBC News.
"However, they can't avoid using some of Bo's programs in its new policies because Bo's Chongqing model has really provided a lot of good experiments for China's future development, in particular with regards to income inequality, public housing, and new growth model."
Scandal sends China's netizens into feeding frenzy
China's leadership is acutely aware of the growing income inequality that the country's economic prosperity has produced, with newly wealthy political and business elites prompting resentment among the majority.
Indeed, official and online media have given coverage to a growing number of grassroots protests driven by the discontent felt by those left behind in the economic race, or those alienated by the corrupt collusion of wealth and power.
Corruption may be widespread in China, but one official crossed a line when he wiretapped President Hu Jin Tau. Now that official's wife is a murder suspect. NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports.
"There is consensus that the government needs to allocate more resources to address social injustice and income inequality," according to Li Mingjiang, China politics professor at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore, noting the efforts of China's leadership in this regard.
"In that sense, the Chongqing model is not dead at all," he told NBC News.
Appeasing the poor
The government has been trying appease many people in undeveloped and poor regions of Western China, for example, by increasing state investments in these regions. Nevertheless, the consensus among China watchers is that Bo went too far in his politics and governing style.
More China coverage from NBCNews.com's Behind The Wall
"Bo Xilai (was) too extreme in his policy in Chongqing, particularly his Cultural Revolution style political campaign," Li said. "These extreme policies are dead, at least for the coming years."
However, China's ruling elite had to deal with the fact that technology made it impossible to keep the case under wraps.
"The amount of information and the intensity of discussion that were revealed in the social media exerted a lot of pressure on the party to release more information about the Bo Xilai case partly in order to forestall and clear rumors," Li added.
In what's being called the biggest Chinese political scandal in years, Bo Xilai, the Communist Party secretary in Chongqing, was sacked Thursday. NBC's Ed Flanagan reports.
"The party has to be very careful not to unnecessarily antagonize Bo's supporters and sympathizers because these people are vocal and scrutinizing ... various forms of social media," he said.
To Cabestan, Bo's "political death or carbonization have been in part caused by the Internet and the speed with which outside information and rumors have circulated in China."
In sum, the experts with whom NBC News spoke agreed that while Bo may be neutralized through the case against his wife and the diciplinary measure he faces, the country's leadership will likely tread carefully given Bo's enduring popularity.
So the suspended death sentence handed down to Bo Xilai's wife signifies a "decision made by the highest leadership," said Professor Jerome Cohen, a veteran authority on Chinese law at New York University.
"The state leaders know that Bo Xilai is still very popular and has lot of support, and to that extent, the court's decision is the most popular option and the best compromise they could have come out with," he added.
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It would be a severe mistake to close the books on BO. He might be the next MAO, if the economic experiment fails, which has a very high probability as of now. There are way too many poor people in China who have not cashed in on this economic boom created by western money and greed. I have been to many factories and have seen many lifeless faces at the assembly lines. I would very carefull if I was wealthy in China because if things really go bad, the wealthy would become feed for the poor.
The Chinese boom is not an experiment, and it certainly won't fail. The poor in China are anxiously awaiting their turn in line, and they will continue to do so regardless of the chances for success.
History repeats itself as though humans never really learn that sharing with compassion is the key. The greedy keep finding creative ways to maximize the work from the poor so they may accumulate wealth and control the masses. At some point, these masses rebel and take over, as the cycle repeats itself, on bigger scales.
SRBINET - Great observation, Ditto. We have been told by people like Steve Forbes that China has a better economic system then the West, what he doesn't mention is the Enormous Real Estate Bubble. Large empty Cities that no one can afford to live in, and pollution issues.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-17390729
Well, 44% of the rich who can afford to move out of China already did. A "quality" life is much cheaper here than in China. Even Bo Xi Lai's son is in United States as we speak. Not to mention China's futue leader... Xi Jin Ping's daughter is also here.
wtf
whatever
your contribution to the discussion makes me wonder why you bother to turn on your computer.
Yes, that was certainly an astute and intelligent comment! We believe it represents an exceptionally high IQ!
Actually it would be wise for the wealthy in China to look for another Taiwan like Island they can all run to with their wealth ,they will try to steal once again. History always repeats itself when it comes to humans. The poor get sick and tired of the rich and they kill them all and the cycle starts again. Now we have the nukes and very limited resources on the planet and the consequences will be even more dire.
They'll make up for this by executing a democracy advocate.
Why did she kill that guy ? having an affair with him or business going bad ? I am guessing her husband's money will soon set her free. She will vanish in the middle of the night and relocate to one of their properties. I can't imagine her doing any real time in jail.
It would appear obvious that Bo wants Gu and needs her, so I see her out of incarceration within a year. Alternately, if she is not released, perhaps he can have a room with her in prison. They seem to want to be together!
Alumette, I live in Beijing and I hear lots of things from "the kids these days" (the netizens that use weibo and other social network sites seem to know EVERYthing two seconds before it happens). The word on the street is that the British man and the son were in a sexual relationship, the mother found out, freaked, and killed the British man.
There will probably never be a way to know the amount of truth in this version of the story, but having worked in Beijing three years now, it makes absolute sense.
This case sounds fishy to me!!! I hope the People of China see through this sham of a case.
Bo could be a Hero or a Villain. A failed western version of a Chinese Manchurian Candidate or a failed Patriotic Communist.
I think either Bo Xilai ws working for the US and was found out.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been taken over by Capitalist interest and wanted Bo Xilai out of the way.
Either way it means their is a power struggle in China and this could mean the end of the Chinese Communist Party as we now know it.
The biggest question is weather the 99% of Chinese people will allow it to happen.
The current US plan is to empower the countries that border China with jobs and Military power to counter the Chinese Military.
The Job moves from China to Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Philippines this will cause unrest in the Chinese people with lack of jobs. This could cause a new peoples revolution in China who know's what form that would take.
Oh! Bo in big big twouble!
China is an extreme case of Xenophobia and as much as they might despise what their leaders do they hate any influence for the outside more
A very interesting article on an important topic, but just to let you know who's who among western news outlets, I first read of this scandal in the Wall Street Journal - five months ago.
Bo is just another ex- Chinese leaders that lost power. He will not be rehabitated but fades away from the limelight.