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    1
    Apr
    2013
    2:18am, EDT

    Global warming paradox: More sea ice around Antarctica in winter, study says

    NASA via Reuters, file

    The Sheldon Glacier with Mount Barre in the background, is seen from Ryder Bay near Rothera Research Station, Adelaide Island, Antarctica, in this NASA handout photo.

    By Alister Doyle, Reuters

    OSLO, Norway - Global warming is expanding the extent of sea ice around Antarctica in winter in a paradoxical shift caused by cold plumes of summer melt water that re-freeze fast when temperatures drop, according to a study unveiled Sunday.

    An increasing summer thaw of ice on the edges of Antarctica, twinned with less than expected snowfall on the frozen continent, is also adding slightly to sea level rise in a threat to low-lying areas around the world, it said.

    Climate scientists have been struggling to explain why sea ice around Antarctica has been growing, reaching a record extent in the winter of 2010, when ice on the Arctic Ocean at the other end of the planet shrank to a record low in 2012.

    Sinead Farrell / NASA

    Ice floes are shown at the foot of an iceberg in Antarctica's Amundsen Sea in October 2010.



    "Sea ice around Antarctica is increasing despite the warming global climate," said Richard Bintanja, lead author of the study at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute.

    "This is caused by melting of the ice sheets from below," he told Reuters of the findings in the journal Nature Geoscience.

    Ice is made of fresh water and, when ice shelves on the fringes of Antarctica thaw in summer because of upwellings of warming sea water, the meltwater forms a cool layer that floats on the denser, warmer salty sea water below, the study said.

    In winter, the melt water readily turns to ice because it freezes at zero degrees Celsius, above sea water at -2C (28.4F).

    At a winter maximum in September, ice on the sea around Antarctica covers about 19 million sq kms (7.3 million sq miles), bigger than Antarctica's land area. It then melts away into the ocean as summer approaches.

    Among other scientists, Paul Holland of the British Antarctic Survey stuck to his findings last year that a shift in winds linked to climate change was blowing a layer of melt water further out to sea and adding to winter ice.

    "The possibility remains that the real increase is the sum of wind-driven and melt water-driven effects, of course. That would be my best guess, with the melt water effect being the smaller of the two," he said.

    Bintanja's study also said the cool melt water layer may limit the amount of water sucked from the oceans that falls as snow on Antarctica. Cold air can hold less moisture than warm.


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    "Cool sea surface temperatures around Antarctica could offset projected snowfall increases in Antarctica, with implications for estimates of future sea-level rise," it said.

    The U.N. panel of climate scientists has estimated that sea levels will rise by between 18 and 59 cm (7-24 inches) this century, more if thaws of Antarctica and Greenland accelerate.

    The panel's main scenarios assume that Antarctica alone will make sea levels fall by between 2 and 14 cms this century because more snowfall will extract water from the sea.

    But Sunday's study said that Antarctica was losing about 250 billion tonnes of ice a year - equivalent to 0.07 millimetre(0.003 inch) of sea level rise a year, Bintanja said. "Antarctic mass loss seems to be accelerating," it said.

    Another study in Nature Geoscience said Antarctica's snowfall had been over-estimated by between 11 and 36.5 billion tonnes a year because of fierce winds blasting many regions.

    Strong winds created conditions to "sublimate" snow, or make it pass from a frozen state to a gas without first becoming liquid, a U.S.-led team wrote. 

    Copyright 2013 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

    172 comments

    Hookey Phalooey! Ocean floor is sinking, volcanic activity rising, magnetic field instability, low sunspot activity=facts. Man made 'global warming' is a CON. Climate extremes are a natural phenom. The liars & extortionists should be publicly horsewhipped. You first AL!

    Show more
    Explore related topics: weather, global-warming, environment, climate-change, antarctica
  • 23
    Dec
    2012
    4:51pm, EST

    West Antarctica warming much faster than previously believed, study finds

    Alister Doyle / Reuters file

    Climate change is turning Antarctica's ice into one of the biggest risks for coming centuries, scientists say.

     

    By Reuters

    West Antarctica is warming almost twice as fast as previously believed, adding to worries of a thaw that would add to sea level rise from San Francisco to Shanghai, a study showed on Sunday. 


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    Annual average temperatures at the Byrd research station in West Antarctica had risen 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.3 Farenheit) since the 1950s, one of the fastest gains on the planet and three times the global average in a changing climate, it said. 

    The unexpectedly big increase adds to fears the ice sheet is vulnerable to thawing. West Antarctica holds enough ice to raise world sea levels by at least 3.3 meters (11 feet) if it ever all melted, a process that would take centuries. 


    "The western part of the ice sheet is experiencing nearly twice as much warming as previously thought," Ohio State University said in a statement of the study led by its geography professor David Bromwich. 

    The warming "raises further concerns about the future contribution of Antarctica to sea level rise," it said. Higher summer temperatures raised risks of a surface melt of ice and snow even though most of Antarctica is in a year-round deep freeze. 

    Low-lying nations from Bangladesh to Tuvalu are especially vulnerable to sea level rise, as are coastal cities from London to Buenos Aires. Sea levels have risen by about 20 centimeters (8 inches) in the past century. 

    The United Nations panel of climate experts projects that sea levels will rise by between 18 and 59 cms (7-24 inches) this century, and by more if a thaw of Greenland and Antarctica accelerates, due to global warming caused by human activities.

    The rise in temperatures in the remote region was comparable to that on the Antarctic Peninsula to the north, which snakes up towards South America, according to the U.S.-based experts writing in the journal Nature Geoscience. 

    Parts of the northern hemisphere have also warmed at similarly fast rates. 

    Annual bird counts give scientists climate clues

    Several ice shelves - thick ice floating on the ocean and linked to land - have collapsed around the Antarctic Peninsula in recent years. Once ice shelves break up, glaciers pent up behind them can slide faster into the sea, raising water levels.

    "The stakes would be much higher if a similar event occurred to an ice shelf restraining one of the enormous West Antarctic ice sheet glaciers," said Andrew Monaghan, a co-author at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research. 

    The Pine Island glacier off West Antarctica, for instance, brings as much water to the ocean as the Rhine river in Europe. 

    The scientists said there had been one instance of a widespread surface melt of West Antarctica, in 2005. "A continued rise in summer temperatures could lead to more frequent and extensive episodes of surface melting," they wrote. 

    Watch World News videos on NBCNews.com

    West Antarctica now contributes about 0.3 mm a year to sea level rise, less than Greenland's 0.7 mm, Ohio State University said. The bigger East Antarctic ice sheet is less vulnerable to a thaw. 

    Helped by computer simulations, the scientists reconstructed a record of temperatures stretching back to 1958 at Byrd, where about a third of the measurements were missing, sometimes because of power failures in the long Antarctic winters. 

    More world stories from NBC News:

    • North Korea missiles could reach US, says South
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    • Video: How Will and Kate are spending the holidays

    Follow World News from NBCNews.com on Twitter and Facebook

     

    Copyright 2013 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

    159 comments

    Is GHX for real? This is an article about global warming not Obama. What a dufus.

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  • 8
    Dec
    2012
    12:29pm, EST

    Climate talks end with deal that's 'not where we wanted to be'

    Osama Faisal / AP

    Activists criticizing what they called a slow pace to climate talks protest Saturday at the convention center in Qatar. Norway's environment minister, Bard Vegar, speaks to some of them.

    By NBC News staff and wire reports

    DOHA, Qatar -- Almost 200 nations on Saturday extended until 2020 a weak international plan for fighting global warming, averting a new setback to two decades of U.N. efforts that have failed to halt rising greenhouse gas emissions. 

    The eight-year extension of the Kyoto Protocol keeps it alive as the sole legally binding plan for combating global warming. But it was sapped by the withdrawal of Russia, Japan and Canada, so its signatories now account for only 15 percent of global greenhouse emissions.


    Follow @NBCNewsWorld

    A package of decisions, known as the Doha Climate Gateway, would also postpone until 2013 a dispute over demands from developing nations for more cash to help them cope with global warming.

    All sides say the Doha decisions fell far short of recommendations by scientists for tougher action.

    Though expectations were low for the two-week conference, many developing countries rejected the deal as insufficient to put the world on track to fight the rising temperatures that are raising sea levels. Some Pacific island nations see this as a threat to their existence.

    "This is not where we wanted to be at the end of the meeting, I assure you," said Nauru Foreign Minister Kieren Keke, who leads an alliance of small island states. "It certainly isn't where we need to be in order to prevent islands from going under and other unimaginable impacts."


    "It was not an easy ride. It was not a beautiful ride. It was not a fast ride, but we managed to cross the bridge and hopefully we can increase our speed," added European Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard.

    She said the deal would pave the way to talks on a new, global U.N. pact meant be agreed in 2015 and enter into force in 2020, when Kyoto now expires. It will have emissions goals for all, including emerging nations led by China and India.

    The 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which controls the greenhouse gas emissions of rich countries, expires this year. However, the second phase only covers about 15 percent of global emissions after Canada, Japan, New Zealand and Russia opted out.

    Originally, Kyoto obliged about 35 industrialized nations to cut greenhouse gas emissions by an average of at least 5.2 percent below 1990 levels during the period from 2008 to 2012.

    The U.S. never joined Kyoto, partly because it didn't include China and other fast-growing developing countries.

    Poor countries came into the talks in Doha demanding a timetable on how rich countries would scale up climate change aid for them to $100 billion annually by 2020 — a general pledge that was made three years ago.

    But rich nations -- including the United States, members of the European Union and Japan -- are still grappling with the effects of a financial crisis and were not interested in detailed talks on aid in Doha.

    The agreement on financing made no reference to any mid-term financing targets, just a general pledge to "identify pathways for mobilizing the scaling up of climate finance."

    The two-week U.N. meeting had been due to end on Friday but the talks went on into Saturday evening.

    World carbon dioxide emissions are set to rise by 2.6 percent this year, and are more than 50 percent higher than in 1990. Recent growth has come mostly from emerging nations, led by China and India.

    The Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report.

    More world stories from NBC News:

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    233 comments

    Did anyone really expect anything different? Each country is worried about their own, not mankind as a whole. Penny wise, but pound foolish.

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  • 29
    Nov
    2012
    3:27pm, EST

    Antarctica, Greenland ice definitely melting into sea, and speeding up, experts warn

    A new study published in 'Science' found the ice in Greenland is melting five times faster than in the early 90s, part of what accounts for a 20 percent rise in sea level over the past two decades. NBC's Anne Thompson reports.

    By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

    What had been a blurry picture about polar ice — especially how it impacts sea levels — just got a whole lot clearer as experts on Thursday published a peer-reviewed study they say puts to rest the debate over whether the poles added to, or subtracted from, sea level rise over the last two decades.


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    "This improved certainty allows us to say definitively that both Antarctica and Greenland have been losing ice," lead author Andrew Shepherd of the University of Leeds in Britain, told reporters. Not only that, but the pace has tripled from the 1990s, the data indicate.

    Combining satellite data from dozens of earlier studies, the study "shows that the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets have contributed just over 11 millimeters (0.4 inches) to global sea levels since 1992," he added. Two-thirds was from Greenland, a third from Antarctica.


    NASA Earth Observatory

    This 20-mile-long rift on Antarctica's Pine Island Glacier, seen from a satellite on Oct. 26, will eventually calve off, possibly in the next few months, creating an iceberg the size of New York City. While that won't raise sea levels since the glacial tongue sits on water, the loss could speed up the flow of ice from Antarctica's mainland into the sea.

    That's 20 percent of all sea level rise over the last two decades, with the rest mostly from thermal expansion of waters due to warming sea temperatures, the authors noted. In recent years, however, the percentage "has gone up significantly" to nearly 40 percent, added co-author Michiel van den Broeke from Utrecht University in the Netherlands.

    Published in the journal Science, the study was based on input from 47 experts at the 26 institutes that produced earlier studies with wild variations. Some of those studies estimated melt was raising sea levels by up to 2 millimeters a year, Shepherd noted, while a few said that overall polar ice was growing, and thus countering sea level rise.

    Much of the discrepancy was due to data showing that Antarctica's vast eastern ice sheet was adding, not losing ice.

    Eastern Antarctica has indeed added ice, but continent-wide the last decade shows a "50 percent increase in ice loss rate," said study co-author Erik Ivins, a satellite data expert with NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab. 

    Most of that loss is in western Antarctica — at places like Pine Island Glacier, where an iceberg the size of New York City is set to calve off. The iceberg itself won't raise sea levels since that ice is already atop water, but thinning glaciers mean that ice on the mainland can make its way downhill to the sea faster.

    ESA/NASA/Planetary Visions

    Based on the new study in Science, this chart shows changes in global sea level due to ice sheet melting since 1992. The background image shows thickening (blue) and thinning (red) of Antarctica's ice sheets over the same period.

    Even more dramatic, Ivins said, is that Greenland "is losing mass at about five times the rate today as it was in the early 1990s."

    Greenland's melt rate has gone from 55 billion tons a year in the 1990s to nearly 290 billion tons a year recently, according to the study. 

    A top ice expert who was not a study co-author told NBC News that the new data mark "an important step forward" in better estimating future sea level rise.

    "While we had a basic picture of what was going on, it was an incomplete and blurry one," said Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado-Boulder. "We needed to step back and take a fresh look, making the best use of all of the different data sources that we have.

    "With this study," he added, "we now have a lot confidence in how the ice sheets are behaving."

    The findings come as nations negotiate in Qatar over a new climate treaty to replace the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which aimed to reduce carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases tied to a warming Earth. 

    And while a 0.4 inch rise in sea levels over 20 years doesn't sound like much, many experts fear further warming will accelerate the polar melt. The ice sheets would raise sea levels by more than 200 feet if they completely melted over centuries — not likely, but even a tenth of that would have catastrophic impacts on coastal areas.

    The authors warned that while the new data should become the benchmark for future forecasts, any new studies could be compromised if aging satellites are not replaced. In the U.S., the Obama administration is overhauling its satellite program after an outside review team found it "dysfunctional."

    Related: Sea levels rose 60 percent faster than forecast, study finds

    "It’s really critical that these measurements are sustained and several satellites are beginning to fail," noted Ian Joughin, a University of Washington researcher.

    "If we really want to have meaningful information that you know planners can use to build seawalls," he added, "there’s going to have to be a big push to improve our projections of sea level rise using models."

    More world stories from NBC News:

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    Follow World News from NBCNews.com on Twitter and Facebook

     

     

    1320 comments

    Yes, but it is not man that is responsible for causing the ice to melt. Everyone knows it is the dolphins that are at fault.

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  • 28
    Nov
    2012
    2:05pm, EST

    Sea level rose 60 percent faster than UN projections, study finds

    A recent study published in the journal "Nature" suggests the U.S. may experience a 5-foot rise in sea level given all of the fossil fuel that has already been burned. NBC's Anne Thompson reports.

    By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

    Projections for sea level rise in coming decades could be too conservative, experts warned Wednesday, saying they found that the rise over the last two decades is much more than predicted by the U.N. scientific body tracking climate signals.


    Follow @NBCNewsWorld

    In a peer-reviewed study, the experts said satellite data show sea levels rose by 3.2 millimeters (0.1 inch) a year from 1993 to 2011 — 60 percent faster than the 2 mm annual rise projected by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for that period. 

    "This suggests that IPCC sea-level projections for the future may also be biased low," the team wrote in the journal Environmental Research Letters. 

    The experts also said the IPCC was just about spot on with its predictions for warming temperatures.

    "Global warming has not slowed down or is lagging behind the projections," lead author Stefan Rahmstorf, a researcher at Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, said in a statement. "The IPCC is far from being alarmist and in fact in some cases rather underestimates possible risks." 


    The experts added that the faster sea level rise is unlikely to be caused by a temporary ice discharge from Greenland or Antarctica ice sheets because it correlates very well with the increase in global temperature.

    The IPCC earlier estimated that seas rose by about 7 inches over the last century, and its most recent report, published in 2007, estimated a range of between 7 and 23 inches this century — enough to worsen coastal flooding and erosion during storm surges.

    But the IPCC report did not factor in a possible acceleration of the melt of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets.

    The IPCC "assumed that Antarctica will gain enough (ice) mass" to compensate for Greenland ice loss, the new study's authors noted, but more recent studies have shown that "the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are increasingly losing mass."

    Related: Ice melt found across 97 percent of Greenland

    Rahmstorf told Reuters his best estimate for sea level rise was between 20 inches and three feet this century, possibly more if greenhouse gas emissions of carbon dioxide surged.

    In the past century, as the climate has warmed, sea level rise has accelerated. Scientists predict it will only increase, and they're studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising. NBC's Anne Thompson reports for "Changing Planet," produced by NBC Learn in partnership with the National Science Foundation.

    The IPCC chair, addressing delegates to international climate talks being held in Doha, Qatar, on Wednesday made note of the recent findings on ice loss and sea level rise.

    The next IPCC report, Rajendra Pachauri promised, will have "a better appreciation of mass loss of the large ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica."

    When the next IPCC report comes out in March 2014, he added, expect "a more quantitative understanding of ongoing sea level rise" — and an entire chapter on the topic.

    More world stories from NBC News:

    • ANALYSIS: Judgment day looms for Rupert Murdoch
    • Syrians risk lives in battle to protect nation's ancient sites
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    Follow World News from NBCNews.com on Twitter and Facebook

    296 comments

    But, of course, according to many, there is NO global warming!!

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  • 28
    Nov
    2012
    1:15pm, EST

    2012 heading for top 10 warmest years globally, UN reports

    National Geographic photographer James Balog is featured in the Sundance award-winning documentary "Chasing Ice," which looks at the impact global warming is having on the Arctic. Balog has set up cameras in the Arctic to shoot every hour of daylight to show the changes to the region. Balog joins Morning Joe with director Jeff Orlowski.

    By Karl Ritter, Associated Press

    DOHA, Qatar -- Despite cooling from La Nina early in the year, 2012 is on track to become one of the top 10 warmest years on record, with the U.S. experiencing extreme warmth and Arctic Sea ice shrinking to its lowest extent, the U.N. weather agency said Wednesday.

    In a statement released at international climate talks in Qatar, the World Meteorological Organization said the "alarming rate" of the Arctic melt highlights the far-reaching changes caused by global warming.

    "Climate change is taking place before our eyes and will continue to do so as a result of the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which have risen constantly and again reached new records," WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud said.

    Delegates from nearly 200 countries are meeting in Doha, Qatar, to discuss ways of slowing climate change, including by cutting emissions of greenhouse gases that scientists say are warming the planet, melting ice caps, raising sea levels, and changing rainfall patterns with impacts on floods and droughts.


    Discord between rich and poor countries on who should do what has kept the two-decade-old U.N. talks from delivering on that goal, and global emissions are still going up.

    The WMO said global temperatures rose after initial cooling caused by the La Nina weather oscillation, with major heat waves in the U.S. and Europe. Average temperatures in January-October were the highest in the continental U.S., and the ninth highest worldwide, since records began in 1850.

    Cyclone activity was normal globally, but above average in the Atlantic, where 10 storms reached hurricane strength, including Sandy, which wreaked havoc across the Caribbean and the U.S. East Coast.

    Sandy wasn't the strongest cyclone, though. That was Typhoon Sanba, which struck the Philippines, Japan, and the Korean Peninsula, "dumping torrential rain and triggering floods and landslides that affected thousands of people and caused millions in U.S. dollars in damage," the WMO said.

    Related: Permafrost melt needs to be factored into talks, experts say

    Droughts impacted the U.S., Russia, parts of China and northern Brazil. Nigeria saw exceptional floods, while southern China saw its heaviest rainfall in three decades.

    But of all the weather events in 2012, the most ominous to climate scientists was the loss of ice cover on the North Pole. In September, scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado said Arctic Sea ice measured 1.32 million square miles — which is 18 percent less than the previous record low, set in 2007. Records go back to 1979 based on satellite tracking.

    The scientists said their computer models predict the Arctic could become essentially free of ice in the summer by 2050, but added that current trends show ice melting faster than the computers are predicting.

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    • ANALYSIS: Judgment day looms for Rupert Murdoch
    • Syrians risk lives in battle to protect nation's ancient sites
    • An ocean away in UK, time is running out to claim $100 million lottery prize
    • ANALYSIS: Egypt learns the art of politics amid protests
    • Arafat's exhumation: Palestinians' desire for truth might be dashed again
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    Follow World News from NBCNews.com on Twitter and Facebook

    © 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

    7 comments

    Compared to global seasonal norms, July 2012 was the coolest July since 2008, according to Dr. John Christy, a professor of atmospheric science and director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville.

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  • 27
    Nov
    2012
    11:42am, EST

    Melting permafrost being ignored at climate talks, experts warn

    Dec. 30, 2011: For thousands of years, permafrost has trapped Siberia's carbon-rich soil, a compost of Ice Age plant and animal remains. But global warming is melting the permafrost and exposing the soil, causing highly flammable methane to seep out. NBC's Jim Maceda reports.

    By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

    All the back and forth over climate change negotiations hasn't dealt with a looming problem: melting permafrost could account for more than a third of all warming emissions by 2100, experts warned Tuesday, and yet nations haven't factored it into reduction targets.


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    "Permafrost is one of the keys to the planet’s future because it contains large stores of frozen organic matter that, if thawed and released into the atmosphere, would amplify current global warming," U.N. Environment Program Director Achim Steiner said in announcing the report by top permafrost scientists.

    "Continuing to ignore the challenges of warming permafrost" is not an option, he added.


    The report was released as nations gather in Doha, Qatar, this week for the latest round of climate treaty talks that aim to limit warming by the year 2100 to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial temperatures.

    "Permafrost has begun to thaw," lead author Kevin Schaefer, a researcher at the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado-Boulder, told a news conference in Doha.

    "Permafrost emissions could ultimately account for up to 39 percent of total (greenhouse gas) emissions," he warned. "This must be factored into treaty negotiations ... or we risk overshooting the 2 degrees Celsius maximum warming target."

    Permafrost, defined as ground that stays frozen for at least two years in a row, stores vast quantities of carbon dioxide and methane, both gases that contribute to the greenhouse effect warming the Earth.

    United Nations Environment Program

    This map shows one scenario of permafrost melt using climate models. The scenario shows a nearly 59 percent loss in near-surface permafrost by 2100.

    Widespread thaw would create a vicious circle, since the release of more CO2 and methane would trap more heat in the air and in turn accelerate the melting. That, in turn, could bring an irreversible, runaway effect. 

    The experts predicted an irreversible loss of between 30 and 85 percent of permafrost near the surface. That was based on a forecast of Arctic temperatures rising by 6 degrees C (10.8 F) through 2100.

    The permafrost report follows reports by the World Bank and the U.N. Environment Program warning that rising world greenhouse gas emissions, even without permafrost contributions, were on track to push up temperatures well beyond 2 degrees C by 2100. 

    At Doha, nations are negotiating around extending the Kyoto Protocol — a legally-binding emissions cap that expires this year. 

    Many rich countries such as Japan, Russia and Canada have refused to endorse an extension and want a completely new treaty. The United States was the lone industrialized country not to join the original pact in 1997 because it did not include other big emitters like China. 

    The frozen ground that covers the top of the world has been thawing rapidly over the last three decades. But there is cause for concern beyond the far north, because the carbon released from thawing permafrost could raise global temeratures even higher. NBC's Anne Thompson reports for "Changing Planet," produced by NBC Learn in partnership with the National Science Foundation.

    Japan insists it would be better to focus on a new treaty by 2015.

    "Only developed countries are legally bound by the Kyoto Protocol and their emissions are only 26 percent," Masahiko Horie, speaking for the Japanese delegation, said in Doha. "If we continue the same, only one quarter of the world is legally bound and three quarters of countries are not bound at all."

    Related story: Rich-poor split persists at climate talks

    But developing countries like Brazil are warning that it will be difficult for poor nations to do their part if they continue watching industrialized nations shy away from legally-binding pacts like Kyoto. 

    Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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    110 comments

    It's hard to fight climate change when a significant portion of the population refuses to even admit that it is a problem. It kind of reminds me of an aunt of mine. She believed that she never needed to work a day in her life because God would provide for her. In a way I guess she was proven right w …

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  • 27
    Nov
    2012
    4:52am, EST

    'We're lucky': Nordic land rising faster than sea level

    Alister Doyle / Reuters

    Hans Lindberg, a 56-year-old Swede, points toward an area of reeds that has risen from the Baltic Sea, forming a land bridge to what used to be an island where he spent his summers as a child in the early 1960s.

    By Reuters

    LULEA, Sweden -- A Stone Age camp that used to be by the shore is now 125 miles from the Baltic Sea. Sheep graze on what was the seabed in the 15th century. And Sweden's port of Lulea risks getting too shallow for ships.


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    In contrast to worries from the Maldives to Manhattan of storm surges and higher ocean levels caused by climate change, the entire northern part of the Nordic region is rising and, as a result, the Baltic Sea is receding.

    "In a way we're lucky," said Lena Bengten, environmental strategist at the Lulea Municipality in Sweden, pointing to damage from superstorm Sandy that killed more than 200 people from Haiti to the United States.

    The uplift of almost 0.4 inches a year, one of the highest rates in the world, is part of a continuing geological rebound since the end of the Ice Age removed a vast ice sheet from regions around the Arctic Circle.

    As sea levels rise, Kiribati eyes 6,000 acres in Fiji as new home

    "It's a bit like a foam-rubber mattress. It takes a while to return to normal after you get up," said Martin Vermeer, a professor of geodesy at Aalto University in Finland. Finland gains 2.7 sq miles a year as the land rises.

    In the Lulea region just south of the Arctic Circle, mostly flat with pine forests and where the sea freezes in winter, tracts of land have emerged, leaving some Stone Age, Viking and medieval sites inland.

    That puts human settlements gradually out of harm's way from sea flooding, unlike low-lying islands from Tuvalu to Kiribati or cities from New York to Shanghai. Facebook is investing in a new data center in Lulea on land that was once on the seabed.

    A recent study published in the journal 'Nature' suggests the U.S. may experience a 5 ft. rise in sea level given all of the fossil fuel that has already been burned. NBC's Anne Thompson reports.

    But rising land also means costs. Lulea is planning to deepen its port by 2020 to let in bigger ships and offset land rise at a cost of 1.6 billion Swedish crowns ($237.86 million).

    "Even if we didn't have the ambition to have larger ships we would still have to do it on a smaller scale just to compensate for the land rise," said Roger Danell, head of the port.

    Alister Doyle / Reuters

    A view of the Swedish Baltic Sea port of Lulea Nov. 14, 2012.

    Shallower port
    Dredging just for existing ships would cost $60.46 million as the water gets shallower at the port that was last deepened in the 1970s, construction manager Jeanette Lestander said. Main exports are iron ore and the main import is coal.

    But a projected rise in sea levels due to global warming means dredging to offset land rise for the next 40 years will be slightly less than in the 1970s.

    Splits between rich, poor nations persist as climate talks open in Doha

    "The rate of sea-level fall will be slowing," Lestander said during a visit to the port. The future sea fall is estimated at 0.28 inches a year from 0.35 inches.

    In the north of Sweden, 125 miles inland and 558 feet above current sea level, archaeologists recently found a 10,700 year-old Stone Age hunters' camp near Pajala that was originally by the Ancylus Lake, the forerunner of the Baltic Sea.

    "We carbon-dated burnt bones from a fireplace," archaeologist Olof Ostlund at the Norrbottens museum said. The hunters would have been near the retreating ice sheet that was once 1.9 miles thick.

    In the past century, as the climate has warmed, sea level rise has accelerated. Scientists predict it will only increase, and they're studying changes in the ocean and land to better understand how and why the water is rising. NBC's Anne Thompson reports for "Changing Planet," produced by NBC Learn in partnership with the National Science Foundation.

    Activists hope storm-struck US will deliver at Doha climate talks

    Experts examined sediments that showed the camp was on the shore of the former giant lake, briefly isolated from the North Sea by land uplift in the south before breaking through again.

    Lulea's old town, with a 15th century church and bright red-painted wooden houses, was originally built on an island for safety when it was as an outpost of the then Swedish-Finnish Kingdom to counter Russian influence near the Arctic Circle.

    Now the village is high and dry, out of sight of the sea. Sheep graze on a field in what used to be the port. In one spot, Sweden's coastline has risen about 984 feet since the Ice Age ended about 10,000 years ago.

    Water receding after Biblical flood?
    The falling water level puzzled people for generations. Some Christians believed it was caused by still-receding waters after the Biblical story of Noah who built an Ark to rescue the world's animals from a God-sent flood.

    Elsewhere in the world, many nations are worried by potential costs if sea levels rise in line with scenarios by the U.N. panel of climate scientists for a gain of 7-24 inches this century after 6.7 inches in the last century.

    The panel says that rising temperatures, caused by emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels, are the cause.

    The U.N. projection excludes the possibility of an acceleration of the melt of Greenland and Antarctica, because that is uncertain.

    Even so, many experts expect a quickening thaw and say that sea levels could rise in total by 3.3 feet this century.

    Experts say human-produced carbon dioxide is playing a big role in the warming of the atmosphere, which is having a major effect on the world's oceans. Warmer oceans results in rising sea levels and more powerful hurricanes – but reversing the effects of global warming could take decades. NBC's Robert Bazell reports.

    Ice melt found across 97 percent of Greenland, satellites show

    Near Lulea, local resident Hans Lindberg, 56, looks out of the wooden seaside cabin that his parents built in 1960 toward what was then the island of Kalkholmen a few hundred yards away.

    "We could look out from here and only see the sea," he said, pointing to a muddy bank where reeds are growing and linking the island to the mainland. Residents of the former island say they fear the link may bring unwanted visitors -- perhaps burglars.

    Alister Doyle / Reuters

    Lindberg shows a family photo from the early 1960s of two girls playing in a sandpit that used to be at his parents' summer cottage near Lulea.

    "You can walk to the island now. When I was young my father had a heavy boat that we could pull through the shallow part of the channel. That's now impossible," he said.

    As evidence of the change, he shows a faded album with a black and white photo of two young girls -- his sister and cousin -- playing in a sandpit in the 1960s by the cabin. It shows an open sea with no sign of the muddy causeway.

    More world stories from NBC News:

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    Copyright 2013 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

    133 comments

    The earth is going about the changes that have occurred for eons and the hysterics think humankind is pulling the levers. Priceless.

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    Explore related topics: europe, global-warming, environment, climate-change, nordic, featured, sea-level
  • 20
    Nov
    2012
    6:46am, EST

    Greenhouse gases hit new record - UN

    Charlie Riedel / AP, file

    A flock of geese fly past a smokestack at the Jeffery Energy Center coal power plant near Emmitt, Kansas, in this Jan. 10, 2009 photo.

    By Ian Johnston, NBC News

    Greenhouse gases reached a new record level in 2011, the World Meteorological Organization said Tuesday.

    The body, an agency of the United Nations, said in a statement that there had been a 30 percent increase in the warming effect on the climate between 1990 and 2011.


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    It said the level of carbon dioxide – which accounts for about 80 percent of the warming effect – and other so-called greenhouse gases such as methane and nitrous oxide had reached the carbon dioxide-equivalent of 473 parts per million in 2011.

    The three gases are closely linked to human activities such as fossil fuel use, deforestation and intensive agriculture.

    Further warming
    WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud said in the statement that billions of tons of carbon dioxide emitted since the start of the industrial age in 1750 would “remain there for centuries, causing our planet to warm further and impacting on all aspects of life on earth.”

    “Future emissions will only compound the situation,” he said.

    Jarraud said about half of the carbon dioxide emitted as a result of human activity had been absorbed by carbon sinks such as forests and oceans.

    “But this will not necessarily continue in the future,” he said. “We have already seen that the oceans are becoming more acidic as a result of the carbon dioxide uptake, with potential repercussions for the underwater food chain and coral reefs.”

    “There are many additional interactions between greenhouse gases, Earth’s biosphere and oceans, and we need to boost our monitoring capability and scientific knowledge in order to better understand these,” he added.

    Ed Jones / AFP - Getty Images, file

    Heavy traffic passes Tiananmen Square outside the opening session of the Chinese Communist Party's five-yearly Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Nov. 8.

    A warmer, more acidic ocean poses a threat to coral and shellfish.

    In July, researchers found that coral reefs had collapsed along Panama's Pacific Coast for 2,500 years due to natural climate cycles.

    Coral in Caribbean, Florida in sharp decline, 'no signs of slowing,' report finds

    Study co-author Richard Aronson, a biology professor at Florida Institute of Technology, said the discovery showed that reducing greenhouse gas emissions should prevent this from happening again or enable the coral to recover if there was a widespread collapse.

    Reuters contributed to this report.

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    • Clinton heads to Mideast on peace mission as Gaza crisis rages
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    207 comments

    One of funniest cartoons I've seen regarding global warming stated: "what if it's a hoax and we create a better world for nothing?"

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  • 26
    Oct
    2012
    4:40pm, EDT

    Great Barrier Reef's coral crisis could find help in deeper waters

    Caitlin Seaview Survey

    This was among the healthy coral found in deep waters below Australia's Great Barrier Reef during the October 2012 work by the Caitlin Seaview Survey.

    By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

    A robot diving deeper than any human diver has found that coral deep below Australia’s Great Barrier Reef is very healthy even though the shallower coral is suffering from storms, warming seas and pollution. The robot’s handlers hope the deeper coral will provide the "recruits" needed to naturally repair the shallower reefs.

    "Up until now our knowledge was limited to the shallow reefs accessible by scuba diving," Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, chief scientist for the Catlin Seaview Survey, said in a statement announcing the findings. "In reality, that provided us with an incomplete picture."

    The remote-operated vehicle, he added, allows scientists to study coral at depths between 90 and 300 feet, "revealing a wholly different picture which now includes the deep reef environment."


    John Bruno, a University of North Carolina coral expert not associated with the survey, welcomed the work. "This is a popular idea," he said of deeper coral providing a refuge, "just not well tested."

    Caitlin Seaview Survey

    The robot used by the Caitlin Seaview Survey takes a sample from a deepwater area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef during its October 2012 work.

    Carden Wallace, a coral expert at the Museum of Tropical Queensland, added that it's not only the abundance but the diversity that surprised her. "Using the ROVs to film and collect samples at this scale is simply unprecedented in Australian waters," Wallace said.

    That diversity includes corals that "are much flatter, more plate-like than the branching and domed shapes seen nearer the surface," said Pim Bongaerts of the University of Queensland’s Global Change Institute. "This is the corals responding to the reduced light conditions and spreading out to maximize their exposure to light.

    "So far below the surface, the light is blue because all other parts of the spectrum have been filtered out," Bongaerts added. "It is a monochrome world until you turn on strong lights to reveal amazing, beautiful, fantastic colors."

    Seaview Survey, in partnership with Google, has been capturing 360-degree views of famous coral reefs. NBC's Savannah Guthrie reports.

    The layer of coral just below the shallow reefs could be the key to repairing the reef system.

    It "could provide coral recruits for the upper levels of the reef, providing a potential for them to help in the recovery," Bongaerts said. "At the moment we know little about the extent of larval movements between the shallow and deep reef, but we are seeing species that exist in both zones."

    Related: 'Major decline' in Great Barrier Reef coral
    Related: 360-degree views of Great Barrier Reef

    Bruno was optimistic that nature would play a role in recovery. "The deep water habitats can/will be a sort of refuge," he told NBC News, calling it "a natural source to repopulate shallow habitats that have been more affected by warming, bleaching, disease, storms, etc."  

    Caitlin Seaview Survey

    A starfish sits on storm-damaged coral in shallow waters of Australia's Great Barrier Reef.

    The findings come a month after the Australian Institute of Marine Science reported that the Great Barrier Reef has lost half its shallow-reef coral cover in the last 27 years. 

    The Catlin team, for its part, is planning six more surveys along the 1,600-mile-long reef system. It plans to later study reef systems around the world, using ROVs as well as cameras with 360-degree views. 

    Slideshow: Take a virtual dive

    See dozens of wonders from coral reefs and other exotic seascapes, courtesy of the Catlin Seaview Survey.

    Launch slideshow

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    21 comments

    To me, it just says. The deep sea inhabitants, will be the last to die. I call it, trickle down pollution.

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  • 16
    Oct
    2012
    5:26pm, EDT

    Huge algae bloom off Canada triggered by company's 'fertilization' experiment

    By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

    A 3,800-square-mile algae bloom in the Pacific Ocean off Canada's British Columbia has been traced to a California businessman who promised a local tribe he could help their salmon runs by fertilizing the ocean with iron.


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    The Guardian of London reported that Russ George acknowledged that in July his company, the Haida Salmon Restoration Corp., had dropped around 100 tons of ore with traces of iron, calling it the "most substantial ocean restoration project in history."

    "We've gathered data targeting all the possible fears that have been raised" about ocean fertilization, George reportedly added. "And the news is good news, all around, for the planet."

    Planktos, a separate company started by George, has wanted to experiment with ocean fertilization as a way to soak up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. But Planktos has been stymied in bids to get government approval for the testing, which, if successful, could position the company to cash in on carbon trading credits aimed at reducing global warming.


    Canada's environment ministry said it was investigating the experiment but would not elaborate.

    Fertilization might be a way to soak up carbon dioxide, but it's also hotly debated among scientists.

    "Some possible effects, such as deep-water oxygen depletion and alteration of distant food webs, should rule out ocean manipulation," John Cullen, an oceanographer at Dalhousie University, told The Guardian. "History is full of examples of ecological manipulations that backfired."

    "It scares me," added Maite Maldonado, a  University of British Columbia researcher who specializes in the impact of trace minerals on ocean life.

    "If you have a massive bloom or growth of this microscopic algae, you might not have enough oxygen in the water column at certain depths," Maldonado told the Canadian Broadcasting Corp.

    The project is 100 times larger than any previous experiment in iron fertilization, she added.

    Moreover, the project might have violated two international resolutions, Kristina Gjerde, an adviser to the International Union for Conservation of Nature, told the Guardian. 

    "The placement of iron particles into the ocean, whether for carbon sequestration or fish replenishment, should not take place, unless it is assessed and found to be legitimate scientific research without commercial motivation," she said. "This does not appear to even have had the guise of legitimate scientific research."

    The Haida nation reportedly put up more than $1 million for the test under the premise that an algae bloom would provide more food for salmon. The test itself was done some 200 miles west of the Haida Gwaii islands.

    "The village people voted to support what they were told was a 'salmon enhancement project'," said the tribe's president, who goes by a single name Guujaaw. 

    Guujaaw said the tribe "would not have agreed if they had been told of any potential negative effects or that it was in breach of an international convention."

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    34 comments

    This is exactly the kind of geoengineering that should scare everyone. We have no idea how iron-saturated waters (or sulfates in the upper atmosphere) will affect the planet. Geoengineering is not the way to 'fix' climate change.

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    Explore related topics: global-warming, environment, climate-change, ocean-fertilization
  • 15
    Oct
    2012
    5:35pm, EDT

    World matched record for hottest September

    Courtesy NOAA Visualization Lab

    NOAA scientists say the globally-averaged temperature last month, tied with the September record high set in 2005.

    By Vignesh Ramachandran

    If you thought September felt a bit warmer than usual, you weren't alone.

    Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said Monday that last month tied a 2005 record for the warmest September on record worldwide. These numbers have been tracked since 1880. September's combined average temperature over land and ocean around the world was 60.21 degrees Fahrenheit -- 1.21 degrees over the 20th century average.



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    The heat was most notable in parts of Russia, Japan, Australia, Argentina, Paraguay, Canada and Greenland. In the United States, September was only the 23rd hottest, The Associated Press reported.

    The scientists also noted that September "also marked the 36th consecutive September and 331st consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average."

    Records such as this are seemingly being set at a greater rate than they used to be, according to Professor Jonathan E. Martin, chair of atmospheric and oceanic sciences at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Martin says greenhouse gases are changing the composition of the atmosphere.

    "One of the consequences of that is an easier time hurdling past high temperature records," Martin told NBC News, acknowledging that global warming could be at play.

    With a September average of 1.39 million square miles, Arctic sea ice also reached its all-time lowest daily extent on record on Sept. 16. Martin speculated that there is a "very strong possibility" that this increased water exposure to the air could be affecting temperatures.

    Related: Arctic sea ice reaches new low

    The situation was different in the Antarctic, where sea ice actually reached its all-time highest daily extent record on Sept. 26.

    Deke Arndt, chief of the climate monitoring branch at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, said 2012 so far currently clocks in as eighth warmest year on record. Unless there are exceptionally high temperatures the rest of the year, 2005 and 2010 will likely continue holding the title for hottest years on record, he added.

    The Associated Press contributed to this story.

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    74 comments

    This has been the trend - more and more hottest records are being matched or beaten faster and faster due to the effect of global warming.

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    Explore related topics: weather, global-warming, september, noaa, temperatures
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